Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 30
Palmeiras
PAL
Corinthians
COI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Palmeiras64%
Draw22%
Corinthians14%
Expected goals
1.93 – 0.80
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.1%
- 2–012.0%
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.8%
- 3–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Palmeiras get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
59%Possession53%
42%Territory44%
31%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Palmeiras, 3 for Corinthians. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.