Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 30
Vasco da Gama
VAS
Remo
REM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vasco da Gama64%
Draw19%
Remo17%
Expected goals
2.50 – 1.30
Over 2.5
72%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.2%
- 3–17.5%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–07.2%
- 1–06.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession45%
54%Territory46%
17%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.09
4.8%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vasco da Gama, 3 for Remo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.