Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 30
Flamengo
FLA
Fluminense
FLU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Flamengo72%
Draw18%
Fluminense10%
Expected goals
2.20 – 0.71
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.2%
- 1–012.5%
- 2–19.4%
- 3–09.3%
- 1–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Flamengo will have the ball; Fluminense will not mind.
62%Possession50%
51%Territory34%
13%From set plays17%
0.11Chance quality0.13
3.0%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Flamengo, 3 for Fluminense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fluminense
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.