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Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 29

Remo

REM

Grêmio

GRM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Remo47%
Draw25%
Grêmio28%

Expected goals

1.78 – 1.35

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.7%
  • 219.3%
  • 108.4%
  • 126.8%
  • 206.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Grêmio will have the ball; Remo will not mind.

45%Possession56%
46%Territory36%
31%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.05
6.3%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Remo, 4 for Grêmio. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.