Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 29
Vitória
VIT
Chapecoense
CHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória41%
Draw28%
Chapecoense31%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.21
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chapecoense will have the ball; Vitória will not mind.
37%Possession49%
43%Territory38%
32%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.09
9.1%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vitória, 3 for Chapecoense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Chapecoense
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.