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Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 29

Internacional

INT

Corinthians

COI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Internacional43%
Draw28%
Corinthians29%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.14

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.5%
  • 1011.3%
  • 219.0%
  • 018.7%
  • 008.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Corinthians will have the ball; Internacional will not mind.

40%Possession53%
46%Territory44%
29%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.12
5.6%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Internacional, 3 for Corinthians. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Internacional

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.