Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 29
Cruzeiro
CRU
São Paulo
SOP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cruzeiro37%
Draw25%
São Paulo38%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.59
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.1%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cruzeiro will have the ball; São Paulo will not mind.
54%Possession44%
41%Territory39%
24%From set plays33%
0.13Chance quality0.12
3.7%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cruzeiro, 3 for São Paulo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
São Paulo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.