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Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 29

RB Bragantino

RBB

Mirassol

MIR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

RB Bragantino38%
Draw26%
Mirassol36%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.52

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.1%
  • 218.4%
  • 128.1%
  • 107.5%
  • 017.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Mirassol get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession55%
48%Territory49%
16%From set plays37%
0.07Chance quality0.08
8.3%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for RB Bragantino, 4 for Mirassol. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.