Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 29
Santos
SAN
Flamengo
FLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santos18%
Draw23%
Flamengo59%
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.91
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–110.9%
- 1–110.4%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–29.8%
- 1–36.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Flamengo will have the ball; Santos will not mind.
50%Possession62%
39%Territory51%
37%From set plays13%
0.17Chance quality0.11
4.2%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Santos, 4 for Flamengo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Santos
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.