Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 29
Fluminense
FLU
Coritiba
COR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fluminense51%
Draw23%
Coritiba26%
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.44
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–06.9%
- 2–26.7%
- 2–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Coritiba get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession49%
34%Territory34%
17%From set plays41%
0.13Chance quality0.13
3.4%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fluminense, 3 for Coritiba. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fluminense
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.