Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 28
Remo
REM
Santos
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Remo28%
Draw22%
Santos50%
Expected goals
1.57 – 2.11
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
70%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.9%
- 1–18.7%
- 2–26.9%
- 2–16.4%
- 1–36.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession50%
46%Territory39%
31%From set plays37%
0.09Chance quality0.17
6.3%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Remo, 3 for Santos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.