Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 28
Mirassol
MIR
Botafogo
BOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mirassol38%
Draw27%
Botafogo35%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.40
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Mirassol will have the ball; Botafogo will not mind.
55%Possession42%
49%Territory43%
37%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.07
5.0%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Mirassol, 4 for Botafogo.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.