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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 28

Flamengo

FLA

RB Bragantino

RBB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Flamengo80%
Draw14%
RB Bragantino6%

Expected goals

2.63 – 0.67

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

-1.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–013.1%
  • 3–011.1%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 3–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Flamengo will have the ball; RB Bragantino will not mind.

62%Possession50%
51%Territory48%
13%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.07
3.0%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Flamengo, 3 for RB Bragantino. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.