Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 21
Chapecoense
CHA
Vasco da Gama
VAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chapecoense25%
Draw25%
Vasco da Gama50%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.69
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.0%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vasco da Gama will have the ball; Chapecoense will not mind.
40%Possession60%
38%Territory43%
24%From set plays14%
0.07Chance quality0.08
8.8%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Chapecoense, 3 for Vasco da Gama. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Chapecoense
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.