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Major League Soccer · Matchweek 34

Seattle Sounders FC

SEA

Los Angeles FC

LOS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Seattle Sounders34%
Draw31%
LAFC35%

Expected goals

1.11 – 1.15

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–112.1%
  • 0–012.0%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

54%Possession54%
47%Territory53%
13%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.08
4.2%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Seattle Sounders, 2 for LAFC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 495 matches, not the full season.