Major League Soccer · Matchweek 34
San Diego FC
SAD
Sporting Kansas City
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
San Diego FC59%
Draw22%
Sporting KC19%
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.13
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.7%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–08.7%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
San Diego FC will have the ball; Sporting KC will not mind.
55%Possession47%
39%Territory34%
14%From set plays18%
0.13Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for San Diego FC, 3 for Sporting KC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 495 matches, not the full season.