Major League Soccer · Matchweek 34
Real Salt Lake
REA
LA Galaxy
LAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salt Lake60%
Draw22%
LA Galaxy18%
Expected goals
2.07 – 1.09
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.6%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–09.1%
- 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession49%
50%Territory33%
16%From set plays5%
0.13Chance quality0.16
5.1%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salt Lake, 2 for LA Galaxy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 495 matches, not the full season.