Major League Soccer · Matchweek 34
FC Dallas
FCD
Colorado Rapids
COO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dallas59%
Draw24%
Colorado17%
Expected goals
1.76 – 0.86
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 2–011.1%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession54%
49%Territory32%
19%From set plays18%
0.15Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dallas, 3 for Colorado. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 495 matches, not the full season.