Major League Soccer · Matchweek 34
Philadelphia Union
PHI
Toronto FC
TOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Philadelphia61%
Draw23%
Toronto16%
Expected goals
1.86 – 0.87
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 2–011.1%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession57%
42%Territory42%
47%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.14
6.5%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Philadelphia, 2 for Toronto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Philadelphia
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 495 matches, not the full season.