Major League Soccer · Matchweek 34
Orlando City
ORL
New England Revolution
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Orlando29%
Draw25%
New England46%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.73
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–17.1%
- 0–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession53%
33%Territory43%
15%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.15
5.3%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Orlando, 2 for New England. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 495 matches, not the full season.