Major League Soccer · Matchweek 34
Red Bull New York
RED
Atlanta United
ATL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NY Red Bulls43%
Draw23%
Atlanta United34%
Expected goals
1.94 – 1.72
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
71%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.0%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–05.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession50%
46%Territory38%
8%From set plays9%
0.16Chance quality0.15
3.2%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for NY Red Bulls, 3 for Atlanta United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 495 matches, not the full season.