Major League Soccer · Matchweek 34
FC Cincinnati
FCC
Nashville SC
NAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cincinnati40%
Draw29%
Nashville SC31%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.13
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–010.1%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession62%
40%Territory34%
18%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cincinnati, 2 for Nashville SC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 495 matches, not the full season.