Major League Soccer · Matchweek 32
Seattle Sounders FC
SEA
Houston Dynamo FC
HOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Seattle Sounders42%
Draw30%
Houston27%
Expected goals
1.26 – 0.98
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.8%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–012.1%
- 0–110.3%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession60%
43%Territory43%
14%From set plays17%
0.11Chance quality0.08
5.9%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Seattle Sounders, 3 for Houston. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Seattle Sounders
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.