Major League Soccer · Matchweek 32
San Jose Earthquakes
SAN
Colorado Rapids
COL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
San Jose42%
Draw31%
Colorado27%
Expected goals
1.23 – 0.95
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.1%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–012.6%
- 0–110.5%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
San Jose get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession51%
37%Territory29%
36%From set plays9%
0.15Chance quality0.09
4.1%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for San Jose, 3 for Colorado. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Colorado
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.