Major League Soccer · Matchweek 32
Nashville SC
NAS
Philadelphia Union
PHI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nashville SC26%
Draw26%
Philadelphia48%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.62
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession55%
37%Territory52%
30%From set plays9%
0.11Chance quality0.16
4.7%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Nashville SC, 2 for Philadelphia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nashville SC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.