Major League Soccer · Matchweek 32
Minnesota United
MIN
Sporting Kansas City
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Minnesota43%
Draw22%
Sporting KC34%
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.88
Over 2.5
74%
Both to score
75%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–17.8%
- 1–17.8%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–26.9%
- 3–15.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession49%
42%Territory41%
11%From set plays4%
0.15Chance quality0.10
4.4%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Minnesota, 2 for Sporting KC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting KC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.