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Major League Soccer · Matchweek 32

FC Dallas

FCD

Columbus Crew

COU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dallas47%
Draw26%
Columbus27%

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.24

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.5%
  • 109.6%
  • 219.4%
  • 207.3%
  • 016.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Columbus will have the ball; Dallas will not mind.

44%Possession62%
43%Territory48%
12%From set plays9%
0.15Chance quality0.12
5.5%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dallas, 3 for Columbus. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.