Major League Soccer · Matchweek 32
Chicago Fire FC
CHI
Orlando City
ORL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chicago40%
Draw26%
Orlando34%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.49
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.9%
- 1–07.7%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession55%
46%Territory36%
20%From set plays4%
0.10Chance quality0.17
3.3%Directness2.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Chicago, 3 for Orlando. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.