Major League Soccer · Matchweek 32
Austin FC
AUS
Real Salt Lake
REA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Austin FC32%
Draw29%
Salt Lake39%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.32
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–09.5%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession53%
34%Territory49%
28%From set plays36%
0.14Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austin FC, 3 for Salt Lake. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.