Major League Soccer · Matchweek 32
Toronto FC
TOR
DC United
DCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Toronto51%
Draw26%
DC United23%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.05
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession30%
41%Territory35%
16%From set plays21%
0.14Chance quality0.15
5.5%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Toronto, 2 for DC United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Toronto
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.