Major League Soccer · Matchweek 32
Charlotte FC
CHA
CF Montréal
CFM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Charlotte FC58%
Draw24%
Montreal18%
Expected goals
1.77 – 0.90
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.9%
- 1–111.0%
- 2–010.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
36%Possession50%
36%Territory40%
9%From set plays8%
0.15Chance quality0.07
6.7%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Charlotte FC, 2 for Montreal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Montreal
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.