Major League Soccer · Matchweek 31
Los Angeles FC
LOS
LA Galaxy
LAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LAFC63%
Draw21%
LA Galaxy17%
Expected goals
2.17 – 1.07
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.3%
- 1–19.2%
- 1–09.1%
- 3–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession49%
42%Territory38%
22%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.13
6.0%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LAFC, 3 for LA Galaxy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.