Major League Soccer · Matchweek 31
Orlando City
ORL
New York City FC
NEY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Orlando57%
Draw24%
NYCFC20%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.05
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.7%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.3%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession56%
36%Territory35%
4%From set plays15%
0.17Chance quality0.07
2.2%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Orlando, 2 for NYCFC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.