Major League Soccer · Matchweek 30
FC Cincinnati
FCC
Columbus Crew
COU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cincinnati31%
Draw25%
Columbus44%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.67
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–17.3%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession62%
41%Territory48%
79%From set plays9%
0.05Chance quality0.12
6.1%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Cincinnati, 3 for Columbus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.