Major League Soccer · Matchweek 30
Seattle Sounders FC
SEA
CF Montréal
CFM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Seattle Sounders58%
Draw24%
Montreal18%
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.0%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession50%
43%Territory40%
14%From set plays8%
0.11Chance quality0.07
5.9%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Seattle Sounders, 2 for Montreal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Seattle Sounders
Montreal
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.