Major League Soccer · Matchweek 30
San Jose Earthquakes
SAN
Nashville SC
NAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
San Jose38%
Draw28%
Nashville SC34%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.26
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–08.6%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession48%
37%Territory37%
36%From set plays30%
0.15Chance quality0.11
4.1%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for San Jose, 2 for Nashville SC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nashville SC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.