Major League Soccer · Matchweek 30
Portland Timbers
POR
Colorado Rapids
COL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Portland37%
Draw29%
Colorado34%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.24
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–110.1%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Portland get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession51%
42%Territory29%
29%From set plays9%
0.14Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Portland, 3 for Colorado. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Colorado
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.