Major League Soccer · Matchweek 30
Houston Dynamo FC
HOU
FC Dallas
FCD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Houston40%
Draw30%
Dallas31%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.11
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–010.5%
- 0–110.3%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Houston will have the ball; Dallas will not mind.
60%Possession44%
43%Territory43%
17%From set plays12%
0.08Chance quality0.15
4.1%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Houston, 3 for Dallas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.