Major League Soccer · Matchweek 30
Philadelphia Union
PHI
Charlotte FC
CHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Philadelphia63%
Draw21%
Charlotte FC15%
Expected goals
2.02 – 0.91
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.3%
- 2–010.8%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.8%
- 3–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession36%
52%Territory36%
9%From set plays9%
0.16Chance quality0.15
4.4%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Philadelphia, 3 for Charlotte FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Philadelphia
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.