Major League Soccer · Matchweek 30
Orlando City
ORL
DC United
DCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Orlando50%
Draw25%
DC United25%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.16
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession30%
36%Territory35%
4%From set plays21%
0.17Chance quality0.15
2.2%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Orlando, 2 for DC United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.