Major League Soccer · Matchweek 30
New England Revolution
NEW
Chicago Fire FC
CHI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
New England52%
Draw25%
Chicago23%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.11
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.5%
- 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession53%
39%Territory46%
9%From set plays20%
0.21Chance quality0.10
4.8%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for New England, 2 for Chicago. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.