Major League Soccer · Matchweek 30
Minnesota United
MIN
St. Louis City
STL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Minnesota27%
Draw23%
St. Louis City49%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.97
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.6%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–16.9%
- 2–26.7%
- 2–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Louis City will have the ball; Minnesota will not mind.
46%Possession55%
42%Territory39%
11%From set plays17%
0.15Chance quality0.19
4.4%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Minnesota, 3 for St. Louis City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.