Major League Soccer · Matchweek 29
Real Salt Lake
REA
San Jose Earthquakes
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salt Lake39%
Draw28%
San Jose33%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.26
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salt Lake will have the ball; San Jose will not mind.
53%Possession44%
49%Territory37%
36%From set plays36%
0.12Chance quality0.15
3.5%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salt Lake, 3 for San Jose. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.