Major League Soccer · Matchweek 29
Nashville SC
NAS
Sporting Kansas City
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nashville SC57%
Draw22%
Sporting KC21%
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.27
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.3%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–07.6%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession49%
37%Territory41%
30%From set plays4%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.7%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Nashville SC, 2 for Sporting KC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.