Major League Soccer · Matchweek 29
LA Galaxy
LAG
Portland Timbers
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LA Galaxy36%
Draw25%
Portland39%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.64
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–16.9%
- 2–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession54%
38%Territory42%
15%From set plays29%
0.13Chance quality0.14
4.6%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LA Galaxy, 3 for Portland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.