Major League Soccer · Matchweek 29
FC Dallas
FCD
Seattle Sounders FC
SEA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dallas42%
Draw26%
Seattle Sounders33%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.43
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–08.1%
- 1–27.6%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession52%
43%Territory43%
12%From set plays14%
0.15Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dallas, 2 for Seattle Sounders. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Seattle Sounders
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.