Major League Soccer · Matchweek 29
Colorado Rapids
COL
Minnesota United
MIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Colorado49%
Draw26%
Minnesota25%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.12
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession46%
29%Territory42%
9%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.15
3.2%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Colorado, 3 for Minnesota. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Colorado
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.