Major League Soccer · Matchweek 29
Toronto FC
TOR
Orlando City
ORL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Toronto47%
Draw23%
Orlando30%
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.52
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.6%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession55%
41%Territory36%
16%From set plays4%
0.14Chance quality0.17
5.5%Directness2.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Toronto, 3 for Orlando. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Toronto
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.