Major League Soccer · Matchweek 29
CF Montréal
CFM
Atlanta United
ATL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montreal29%
Draw27%
Atlanta United44%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.52
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.0%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession53%
40%Territory44%
8%From set plays14%
0.07Chance quality0.13
5.1%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Montreal, 3 for Atlanta United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Montreal
Atlanta United
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.