Major League Soccer · Matchweek 29
DC United
DCU
Red Bull New York
RED
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
DC United47%
Draw29%
NY Red Bulls24%
Expected goals
1.35 – 0.91
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.4%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–011.6%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
30%Possession49%
35%Territory51%
21%From set plays21%
0.15Chance quality0.08
6.1%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for DC United, 3 for NY Red Bulls. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
NY Red Bulls
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.